Africa is a continent with many challenges and many opportunities. There is, however, a bright silver lining around the clouds in Africaâ€™s horizon, and bright prospects as the future beckons. In agriculture, Africa has a strong competitive edge as it holds 60 per cent of the worldâ€™s uncultivated arable land, holding the key for production of food and non-food crops, particularly when the potential is unlocked.
Demographics and urbanisation will
warrant a quantum growth in the continentâ€™s cotton and textile industry. With doubling population overall, tripling in urban areas in the past 30 years, and the prospects of further
increase with a projected population of two billion people by 2050, Africa needs now to its future.
The increase offers good market opportunities for the productive sector in terms of food and clothing. But any progress to these ends will remain elusive as long as subsistence farmers which form the majority of African farmers still remain within the vice-grip of poverty. The Food and Agriculture
Organisation (FAO) has revealed that smallï¿¾holder farmers contribute up to 80 per cent of sub-Saharan Africaâ€™s food supply and that the continent has an estimated 33 million smallholder farms. To boost their productivity and lift majority of them out of poverty will
require deliberate interventions that would raise their capabilities.
The non-food agricultural sector, such interventions are urgently needed so as toÂ position Africa as an emerging market and a veritable player in the unfolding global economy. Prospects in cotton and textile abound for Africa in the local, regional and inter-continental markets.
The African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) of the United States as well as the European Unionâ€™s Generalised Scheme of Preferences (GSP) beckon on Africa. For Nigeria, in particular, the potential to produce for the local market of over 170 million people, and representing a large natural market for textiles, presents enormous prospects.
Mechanised operations are crucial for
success in Africa throughout the entire cotton value chain. A 2016 report had it that the current global apparel market is worth US$ 1.7 trillion, constituting around two per cent of the worldâ€™s GDP, with EU, USA and China having a combined share of approximately 54
per cent. The leaders in this industry operate mechanised cotton farming. The global apparel market size is expected to reach US$ 2.6 trillion in 2025, growing by a projected rate of four per cent.
The contemporary geography of African
cotton is quite different from the reality that prevailed in the 1960s. Following the wave of nationsâ€™ independence, West Africa acï¿¾counted for an average of only 15 per cent of African production compared to nearly 40 percent for Egypt and 20 per cent for East Africa.
The pervasive droughts in the Eastern and Southern Africa in 2017 is a cause for concern as dry weather, leading to poor harvest, might recur, with dire consequences for food crops as well as non-food crops such as cotton.
Significant challenges will have to be
overcome to achieve the level of agricultural productivity necessary to meet the producï¿¾tion volume of food, fibre and fuel in 2050.
Mechanisation is one factor that has had a significant effect on Total Factor Productivity since the beginning of modern agriculture.
Mechanised harvesting, for example, was a key factor in increasing cotton production in the last century in those leading producer countries.
In the future, mechanisation will also have to contribute to better management of inputs, which will be critical to increasing Total Factor Productivity in global production.
A broad spectrum of power sources and
improved farm tools and equipment to reï¿¾duce the drudgery of operations, enhance the cropping intensity, precision and timelines of efficiency of utilisation of various crop inputs and reduce the losses at various stages of crop production is desirable inÂ African cotton farming. The end objective of
farm mechanisation is to enhance the overall productivity and production with the lowest cost of production.
Mechanisation must be treated as an
imperative rather than an option if Africa is to compete favourably in the global cotton textile value chain. Policies and investment interventions across the continent must address this all important issue. A 1980 survey of impact of mechanisation in India, covering
815 farming households in 85 villages, showed an increase of 72 per cent in sorghum and seven per cent in cotton as compared to those who used traditional bullocks. We thus need a robust mechanisation intervention in form
of irrigation to boost production reliably.
West Africa occupies a modest place, with the region ranking fifth in the world and contributing only five per cent of global cotton production. But production within the region depends largely on small scale farmers using manual labour.
It is projected that the major growth drivers of the global apparel market
will be the developing economies, but how far can they go without mechanisation? Nigeria, and indeed Africa, should aspire to have a significant share of this market.
The intra-African trade in cotton, textiles
and apparel products could begin in earnest on sub-regional levels. Nigeria can export to the ECOWAS market of 175 million people, as well as to the US under AGOA and EUâ€™s GSP scheme which Kenya, Ethiopia, Lesotho, Madagascar and a number of African countries are already exploiting. As a contrast, just
while Nigeriaâ€™s textile industry was withering away, failing woefully to take advantage of the AGOA window at the beginning of this century, the Almeda textile factory in Ethiopia, announced that it has begun exporting its products to Europe and the United States.
The same factory has started exporting its products to Germany, Italy and the USA. So, why was the decline in Nigeria?
The pathetic story book of a de-industrialising Nigeria would have a chapter on the decline and collapse of the textile industry.
Notable among the consequences was
the deterioration of two major cities in the north, namely Kano and Kaduna. With the downturn of the economy in which the textile industry was badly hit, Kadunaâ€™s economic life crumbled. The last straw was about a decade ago when six of the few surviving textile
companies were closed down in one week.
With the collapse, employment in Nigeriaâ€™s textile and apparel sector plummeted to 20,000 people, from 600,000 two decades ago. Until recently, 34 out of 184 textile mills in Nigeria were operational, all of which operated at 30 per cent installed capacity and contributed 25 per cent of GDP in addition to providing well over 700,000 jobs, next only to government. As the decay continued, Kaduna went under. Over the past quarter-century, well over a hundred textile and ginneries combined have been shut down nationwide, with just about five composite textile companies functional today, even at a fraction of their installed capacity, with a handful still holdingÂ on to their jobs.
As the global attention is focusing on
Africa in general and on Nigeria in particular, there is no better time to revive the cotton-textile and apparel industry as means of injecting a new blood into the countryâ€™s economy.
The multiplier effects are many. One of these is a renewed confidence in the continentâ€™s ability to play on the field of global apparel industry. Many African countries will take a clue and the value chain will become vibrant once again. With growing market prospects globally, the Africa Rising narrative can have a springboard in this sub-sector and can spin enormous wealth once again in the private sector across the West African sub-region and the continent in general.
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